The events of June 24 marked the biggest political crisis in 21st-century Russia, overshadowing the Kursk submarine in 2000, the arrest of Khodorkovsky in 2003, the death of Akhmat Kadyrov in 2004, the protests on Bolotnaya Square in 2011, the assassination of Boris Nemtsov in 2015, the pension reform in 2018, military setbacks in 2022 and drone strikes on Moscow in 2023.
Experts have differing views on whether the crisis ended on June 24 or whether new decisions and measures will still be needed to resolve it. Many circumstances of the events remain foggy, though the main drivers of the situation seem quite clear.
Stress on the system and misjudged risks
The main cause of the crisis is the broad stress on the administrative system. Amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the system could not stay the same, though it was not ready to change either. Differences within the elites built up, while the public discourse ignored their real nature, attributing the current problems to the machinations of “external” enemies.
The country has been living in a state of war for almost a year and a half, but